有一点你说得很好,是的,与中国的贸易将继续增长。
And yes, I do think the US and Europe will allow China to surpass them. In many areas, it is occurring. One of the biggest areas is electricity production. China, by 2030, will produce more electricity than Europe and North America combined. The GDP won't be greater, but it will begin to approach the combined of the two entities (maybe about 2/3 the size of the combined two GDP's). And as GDP goes, so do defense spending. It'll be slower and trail GDP and other basic metrics, of course, since, unlike other industries, defense industries are not shared openly across borders. But China will continue to grow in size and influence.
同时我也确实认为,中国将会超越美国和欧洲。在许多领域,它正在发生。其中最大的领域是发电量。到2030年,中国的发电量将超过欧洲和北美的总和。也许GDP不会超过,但会接近美国和欧洲的总和(也许是美国和欧洲总和的三分之二) 。随着GDP的增多,国防开支也会增多。当然,国防开支的增长不一
与GDP增长同步,毕竟,国防工业不同于其他行业,国防工业不会跨越国界共享。但中国的规模和影响力将会继续增大。
随着GDP的增多,国防开支也会增多
I am not pro-China per se, but I would like to see China become a developed nation. And one in which she has influence commensurate with a developed nation of 1.4 billion people. And when you look at the waters off of the Chinese coast, you can see there are alot of choke points for ships coming and going into this huge economy. And many of the waters of China's coast have territorial restrictions created at a time when China was weak.
我不是亲中国者,但我希望看到中国成为一个发达国家。一个影响力其14亿人口相称的发达国家。看看中国的海域,你可以看到有很多的咽喉要道控制来来往往的船舶进入这个巨大的经济体。当中国力量弱小的时候,这些咽喉要道有很多都是限制中国的据点。
未来中国经济然将是稳定增长
And the US has no qualms siding with those countries who want to dispute China as it is in America's long term interest to slow China's expanding influence.
By the way, about 1/3 of South Korea's exports go to China. Economically, she is increasingly becoming part of China
去偏袒这些国家以减缓中国崛起的速度,美国是不会有任何疑虑的,因为那符合美国的长远利益。
顺便说一句,韩国出口的1/3出口到中国。在经济上,她正日益成为中国的一部分。
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